Home Diary of a CEO Notes
Diary of a CEO · 2024-11-04 · 1h 54m

Scott Galloway: "There Is A 33% Chance That Trump Dies In Office!"

Scott Galloway breaks down the 2024 US election, the crisis facing young men, identity politics, and why loneliness is AI's biggest threat.

Scott Galloway: "There Is A 33% Chance That Trump Dies In Office!"
The guest

Scott Galloway — NYU Stern marketing professor, serial entrepreneur and author (The Algebra of Wealth), and co-host of the Pivot and Prof G podcasts known for blunt, data-driven analysis of business, tech, and society.

The gist

Recorded the day before the 2024 US presidential election, Galloway gives a no-nonsense read on why the race is a toss-up despite a strong economy, arguing perception has diverged from reality. He spends much of the conversation on the plight of young men, who he says feel abandoned by the Democratic party, and makes the case for moving from race-based to class-based affirmative action. He dissects the rise of the 'podcast election,' how rage-driven social media algorithms (especially TikTok) are weaponized to divide Americans, and the asymmetric incentives pushing business leaders toward Trump. He closes on masculinity, pornography, dating, and his belief that loneliness is the greatest danger posed by AI.

Big reveals

  • Says he is betting $358,000 on Kamala Harris winning via Polymarket that afternoon.
  • Predicts Harris will win, betting on higher young-female turnout, even though a statistician would pick Trump.
  • Argues China/Russia weaponize social media to divide Americans because they can't beat the US militarily or economically.
  • Claims Meta is the 'ultimate Espionage vehicle' and helps the government track and kill terrorists, which is why social media goes unregulated.
  • Says Biden was 'booted out' by Nancy Pelosi, not voluntarily, and the two haven't spoken since.
  • Calls the manosphere's 'take my crypto course' grift 'pure theft.'
  • Names loneliness as AI's biggest threat, citing fake AI relationships replacing real ones.
  • Reveals Steven Bartlett's blurb is printed on the front cover of Galloway's book The Algebra of Wealth.

Things worth remembering

  • One in three young men under 25 lives with their parents; only one in three men under 30 has a girlfriend.
  • Three of four homeless people and four of five suicides in the US are men.
  • Trump's Joe Rogan appearance reached ~40 million YouTube views, dwarfing prime-time cable's ~500,000.
  • Two-thirds of Harvard's freshman class identifies as non-white, but 70% of those came from upper-income homes.
  • Average Black/Latino household net worth is ~$20-25k versus ~$150-160k for white households.
  • A child from a top-1% household is 77 times more likely to attend an elite school.
  • On TikTok there are 52 pro-Hamas videos for every one pro-Israel video, per Galloway.
  • Galloway says there's a one-in-three chance Trump dies in office based on his age and BMI.
  • A man becomes eight times more likely to kill himself after divorce.
  • One in seven men has no single friend and one in four can't name a best friend.

Recommended in this episode

Books, products and media the guest or host genuinely endorsed here — with the buy link.

Affiliate link — we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.

Guest’s ownBook

The Algebra of Wealth

Scott Galloway

“I the biggest fan of this book your latest book the algebra of wealth so much so that I I've endorsed it on the front there” — Scott Galloway 01:50:59
Find it on Amazon