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Diary of a CEO · 2026-02-23 · 1h 43m

Uber CEO: I Have To Be Honest, AI Will Replace 9.4 Million Jobs At Uber! - Dara Khosrowshahi

Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi on his refugee childhood, relentless work ethic, brutal honesty as leadership, and AI's coming displacement of 9.4 million Uber jobs.

Uber CEO: I Have To Be Honest, AI Will Replace 9.4 Million Jobs At Uber! - Dara Khosrowshahi
The guest

Dara Khosrowshahi — CEO of Uber since 2017, who turned it from billions in annual losses to roughly $9.8 billion in free cash flow. Previously CEO of Expedia for 12 years and an investment banker at Allen & Company.

The gist

Khosrowshahi traces his path from fleeing Iran as a child during the 1978 revolution, through investment banking under mentor Barry Diller, to running Expedia and then Uber. He lays out his philosophy of company-building: betting on people, radical transparency, embracing the grind, taking smart risks, and treating a company as an engineering machine that must improve faster than competitors. The back half confronts AI head-on, with Khosrowshahi predicting AI will be capable of replacing 70-80% of human work within 10-20 years, including most of Uber's 9.5 million drivers. He refuses the standard CEO reassurance that society will simply adapt, calling job retraining a real unanswered question. He closes on meaning, his late father, and advice to work hard and not over-plan a career.

Big reveals

  • Breaks down recalling revolutionary guards' bullets going through his family's living room in Iran, forcing them to flee to the US.
  • Admits that despite his professional toughness, he cannot handle rejection or conflict in his personal life and is conflict-avoidant.
  • Reveals he went 0-for-2 hiring leaders for Expedia's biggest business, then ran it himself for 5-6 years to learn the job.
  • Three months into the Expedia role, his head of HR told him he was scaring people.
  • Claims AI will be able to replace the work 70-80% of humans do within 10 years for intellectual jobs, 15-20 years for physical jobs.
  • Says about 90% of Uber's coders now use AI, with 30% as power users showing dramatically higher productivity.
  • States Waymo and autonomous drivers are safer than humans and could cut the ~1 million annual global driving deaths dramatically.
  • Won't give the standard 'everyone will figure it out' AI reassurance, saying he hears far more disruption privately than CEOs admit on CNBC or at Davos.

Things worth remembering

  • Uber generates about $8.5 billion in annual free cash flow (Khosrowshahi corrects to $9.8 billion in the last year), up from $2.5-3 billion in annual losses when he joined.
  • At Expedia, the stock rose 550% and sales grew 400% from $2.1 billion to $8.8 billion over his 12 years; he was the highest-paid US tech CEO at $94.1 million.
  • Uber's core idea came from Garrett Camp unable to find a black car on a snowy day in Paris; Travis Kalanick became the operator.
  • Uber has about 9.5 million drivers and couriers; Khosrowshahi says the second-largest organized workforce is the Chinese army.
  • Uber runs about 40 million trips a day, all orchestrated by small AI models trained on local problems and stitched together.
  • The only original Uber value to survive Khosrowshahi's reset was 'do the right thing, period,' which he wrote himself rather than crowdsourcing.
  • Some Uber teams built a 'Dara AI' to rehearse presentations before pitching the real CEO.
  • Spotify founder Daniel Ek pushed him to take the Uber job, saying 'since when is life about being happy? It's about making impact.'
  • His father's advice on the offer: 'when a company who's a verb tells you to run it, you just say yes.'
  • Cites an Australian study of male suicide notes finding the dominant sentiment was a loss of feeling worthy of providing for family.